✈️ Flight Disruption Risk Tracker
Jet fuel prices have surged 38% above pre-war levels following the Strait of Hormuz disruption. This tracker shows flight disruption risk by country and airline status updates, including the summer 2026 peak travel season outlook.
Global Jet Fuel Situation — April 2026
Flight Disruption Risk by Country
32 countries| Country | Risk Level | Jul/Aug Peak | Jet Fuel | Key Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
🇵🇰Pakistan | Critical | Critical | +78% | PIA has suspended multiple routes |
🇱🇰Sri Lanka | Critical | High | +71% | Sri Lankan Airlines cancelled all Middle East routes |
🇧🇩Bangladesh | Critical | High | +68% | Biman suspended Dhaka–Muscat and Dhaka–Bahrain |
🇾🇪Yemen | Critical | Critical | +110% | Sanaa and Aden airports operating intermittently |
🇮🇶Iraq | Critical | High | +65% | Baghdad and Basra airports under airspace restrictions |
🇮🇷Iran | Critical | Critical | +120% | Active conflict zone |
🇯🇵Japan | High | High | +52% | 90% Middle East oil dependency for jet fuel |
🇰🇷South Korea | High | High | +50% | 85% Middle East oil dependency |
🇮🇳India | High | High | +55% | Air India and IndiGo added major surcharges |
🇵🇭Philippines | High | High | +48% | Philippine Airlines added fuel surcharges |
🇹🇭Thailand | High | High | +45% | Thai Airways reduced Middle East capacity by 20% |
🇪🇬Egypt | High | High | +52% | EgyptAir added fuel surcharges |
🇹🇼Taiwan | High | High | +49% | 98% oil import dependency |
🇸🇬Singapore | High | Moderate | +44% | Singapore Airlines added fuel surcharges |
🇲🇾Malaysia | High | High | +43% | Malaysia Airlines added surcharges |
🇬🇧United Kingdom | Moderate | High | +32% | British Airways added fuel surcharges |
🇩🇪Germany | Moderate | High | +30% | Lufthansa Group added surcharges across all brands |
🇫🇷France | Moderate | High | +28% | Air France–KLM added surcharges |
🇺🇸United States | Moderate | Moderate | +25% | US is a major domestic oil producer |
🇦🇺Australia | Moderate | Moderate | +35% | Qantas and Virgin Australia added fuel surcharges |
🇨🇳China | Moderate | High | +38% | China is a major oil importer but has large strategic reserves |
🇦🇪United Arab Emirates | Moderate | Moderate | +30% | Emirates and Etihad added surcharges |
🇮🇩Indonesia | Moderate | High | +42% | Garuda Indonesia added fuel surcharges |
🇿🇦South Africa | Moderate | Moderate | +36% | South African Airways added surcharges |
🇹🇷Turkey | Moderate | High | +40% | Turkish Airlines maintained full operations but added surcharges |
🇬🇷Greece | Moderate | High | +31% | Aegean Airlines added surcharges |
🇪🇸Spain | Moderate | High | +29% | Iberia and Vueling added surcharges |
🇮🇹Italy | Moderate | High | +30% | ITA Airways added surcharges |
🇨🇦Canada | Low | Low | +20% | Canada is a major oil producer |
🇳🇴Norway | Low | Low | +15% | Norway is a major oil and gas producer |
🇳🇿New Zealand | Low | Low | +28% | Air New Zealand added fuel surcharges |
🇧🇷Brazil | Low | Low | +22% | Brazil is a major oil producer (Petrobras) |
Airline Status Tracker
Last updated: 24 Apr 2026PIA is raising domestic fares by $20 and international fares by up to $100 per ticket, and has suspended multiple Gulf routes after Pakistan jet fuel supply fell to critically low levels.
SAS cancelled approximately 1,000 flights in April and several hundred in March due to jet fuel supply constraints and elevated costs. The airline has not confirmed a resumption timeline.
Sri Lankan Airlines cancelled all flights to the Middle East and reduced long-haul operations by 40% due to jet fuel shortages at Bandaranaike International Airport.
Vietnam Airlines is cancelling 23 flights per week on domestic routes from April 2026 due to jet fuel supply shortfalls and elevated costs.
Air New Zealand is slashing flights through May and June 2026 and has suspended its full-year earnings forecast, citing unprecedented jet fuel cost increases driven by the Hormuz disruption.
Flydubai suspended all flights to Iran, Iraq, and Yemen indefinitely due to airspace restrictions and fuel supply uncertainty at destination airports.
Biman suspended Dhaka–Muscat and Dhaka–Bahrain routes indefinitely. The airline is operating at 60% of pre-war capacity due to jet fuel rationing at Hazrat Shahjalal International Airport.
Cathay Pacific doubled its fuel levy on long-haul routes (approx HK$1,560 / ~$200 per leg to North America, Europe, SW Pacific) and is cutting ~2% of scheduled flights mid-May through end-June 2026. HK Express is cutting ~6%.
AirAsia X cut 10% of its flights and introduced an approximate 20% fuel surcharge on ticket prices, citing jet fuel costs that have nearly doubled since the Hormuz disruption began.
Qatar Airways reduced capacity by 15% on Asia-Pacific routes and suspended twice-weekly Doha–Colombo service pending fuel supply stabilisation at Hamad International.
Emirates added substantial fuel surcharges effective March 2026. Economy to Americas: $322/leg; Business/First: $1,023/leg. Europe: $226 economy / $623 premium. Australia/NZ: $302 economy / $958 premium.
Asiana Airlines introduced new fuel surcharges effective April 1, 2026. North America routes: $405 business / $305 economy per leg. Japan: $192 flat all cabins. Other Asia hubs: $300 business / $200 economy.
Korean Air tripled its international fuel surcharges from April 1, 2026. New scale: approximately $31–$225 per one-way trip depending on distance. The airline has entered emergency management mode.
Air India applied international fuel surcharges: up to $280/leg for North America and Australia, $205 for Europe, $130 for Africa, $100 for China, $60 for Singapore, $50 for Middle East. Domestic: distance-based grid.
IndiGo introduced fuel surcharges from March 14, 2026: ₹900 for Middle East routes, ₹2,300 for European routes. The airline warned of potential regional route suspensions if ATF prices remain elevated.
WestJet added a C$60 (~$43 USD) fuel surcharge to some bookings, citing jet fuel cost increases driven by the Hormuz disruption. The airline has maintained full operations.
Ethiopian Airlines added a $25–$60 fuel surcharge per sector on all routes. The airline has maintained full operations and is positioning itself as an alternative hub for Africa–Asia routing.
Kenya Airways introduced a $20–$45 fuel surcharge on all routes. The airline noted that Nairobi jet fuel supply is stable as Kenya sources primarily from East African suppliers.
JAL added a ¥6,000–¥18,000 fuel surcharge per sector on international routes. Japan is heavily dependent on Middle East crude for jet fuel production, with reserves estimated at 90 days.
Singapore Airlines added a S$35–S$95 fuel surcharge per sector on all routes. Changi Airport has maintained jet fuel supply through diversified sourcing, but costs have risen significantly.
Air France–KLM announced long-haul cabin fares will rise by €50 (~$58) per round trip. The airline group has maintained full operations and does not anticipate cancellations given European fuel supply stability.
Ryanair CEO O'Leary warned 25% of fuel supply is threatened by the Iran war and forecast a 4% increase in fares (Bloomberg, Mar 19). The airline sees potential risk to 10–20% of fuel supply from June if the conflict continues.
Thai Airways is raising fares by 10–15% to address fuel costs. The airline has suspended Bangkok–Tehran service and reduced capacity on Middle East routes.
VietJet adjusted flight frequency on selected routes due to potential fuel shortages, citing the Hormuz disruption impact on Vietnamese jet fuel supply chains.
No Lufthansa Group passenger surcharge has been confirmed. SunExpress (a Turkish Airlines/Lufthansa JV) introduced a €10/passenger surcharge from May 1 on Turkey–Europe routes. European jet fuel supply is stable but prices are up ~38%.
IAG (British Airways parent) stated in March 2026 it does NOT plan to increase ticket prices immediately, as the group has hedged fuel costs for the short-to-medium term. BA is monitoring the situation but has not announced any surcharge.
Philippine Airlines added a ₱1,800–₱5,500 fuel surcharge on international routes. The airline noted that Manila's jet fuel supply is adequate for the next 45 days but is monitoring the situation closely.
Etihad introduced a fuel surcharge of $30–$70 per sector on international routes from Abu Dhabi, citing unprecedented jet fuel cost increases.
Iberia, part of IAG alongside British Airways, has not announced fuel surcharges. IAG stated in March 2026 it does not plan immediate price increases as the group has hedged fuel costs for the short-to-medium term.
Vueling (IAG subsidiary) has not announced fuel surcharges. IAG group hedging provides short-to-medium term protection. Operating normally on European and medium-haul routes.
Aer Lingus (IAG subsidiary) has not announced fuel surcharges. IAG group fuel hedging covers short-to-medium term exposure. Transatlantic and European operations continue normally.
SWISS (Lufthansa Group subsidiary) has not confirmed passenger surcharges. European jet fuel supply is stable but prices are up ~38% since the Hormuz disruption. The group is monitoring the situation; SunExpress (LH/TK JV) introduced a €10 surcharge on Turkey–Europe routes from May 1.
Austrian Airlines (Lufthansa Group) has not confirmed passenger surcharges. European fuel supply is stable; the group is monitoring the situation. No cancellations or route changes announced.
Brussels Airlines (Lufthansa Group) has not announced surcharges or disruptions. European jet fuel supply remains stable. The airline is monitoring the ongoing Hormuz situation.
Eurowings (Lufthansa Group LCC) has not announced surcharges. Operating normally on European routes. Jet fuel costs are elevated but European supply chains remain intact.
KLM (Air France–KLM Group) is implementing the group-wide long-haul cabin fare increase of €50 (~$58) per round trip. No cancellations or route suspensions announced; European fuel supply is stable.
Transavia (AF-KLM Group LCC) has not announced surcharges. Operating normally on European and medium-haul routes. Monitoring the fuel cost situation as part of the AF-KLM group.
easyJet has not announced a formal fuel surcharge but fares have risen 6–10% across European routes as the airline absorbs higher jet fuel costs. The airline operates primarily within Europe where supply is stable.
Wizz Air has seen fare increases of 8–12% on Central and Eastern European routes. The airline has not announced formal surcharges but is monitoring fuel costs closely. No disruptions to operations.
Air Arabia (Sharjah-based LCC) has not announced formal surcharges but is monitoring the fuel situation closely. UAE jet fuel supply remains relatively stable given proximity to Gulf producers.
Pegasus Airlines (Turkish LCC) has not announced formal surcharges. SunExpress (a Lufthansa/Turkish Airlines JV) introduced a €10 surcharge on Turkey–Europe routes from May 1. Pegasus is monitoring the situation.
Turkish Airlines has not announced passenger surcharges. The airline's SunExpress joint venture (with Lufthansa) introduced a €10/passenger surcharge on Turkey–Europe routes from May 1. Turkish Airlines is monitoring the broader situation.
SpiceJet introduced fuel surcharges from March 2026 on domestic and international routes. India's aviation turbine fuel (ATF) prices rose sharply following the Hormuz disruption, impacting LCCs with less hedging capacity.
LATAM Airlines has seen fare increases of 5–8% on long-haul routes as jet fuel costs rise globally. South American fuel supply is less directly impacted by Hormuz, but global benchmark prices affect costs.
Aeromexico has increased fares by 4–7% on international routes citing higher jet fuel costs. Mexico sources fuel primarily from domestic refineries and US imports, limiting direct Hormuz exposure.
Copa Airlines has not announced formal surcharges. Operating normally as a Panama hub carrier. Global jet fuel price increases are being monitored; the airline benefits from relatively diversified fuel sourcing.
Frontier Airlines (US ULCC) has seen base fares rise 5–9% as jet fuel costs increase. US domestic fuel supply is less exposed to Hormuz but global benchmark prices still impact costs.
Spirit Airlines (US ULCC) has seen fare increases of 6–10% as jet fuel costs rise. The airline is particularly sensitive to fuel price changes given its low-cost model and limited hedging capacity.
Finnair has not announced formal surcharges. The airline's Nordic routes are less exposed to Middle East fuel supply chains. Monitoring the situation; European jet fuel prices are elevated ~38% but supply is stable.
LOT Polish Airlines has not announced surcharges. Operating normally on European and transatlantic routes. European jet fuel supply is stable; the airline is monitoring the global situation.
TAP Air Portugal has not announced formal surcharges. Operating normally on European, transatlantic, and Africa routes. European fuel supply is stable; monitoring the situation.
ITA Airways (formerly Alitalia) has not announced surcharges. Operating normally on European and intercontinental routes. European jet fuel prices are elevated but supply is stable.
Not financial advice. Always verify directly with your airline before booking.
