🇧🇷
Brazil
Low Risk
AI Analysis · Updated daily
Brazil maintains a low-to-moderate risk profile (45/100) despite a 15% oil import dependency, largely mitigated by its status as a significant oil producer. Gasoline prices are $1.28/L, supported by 120 days of reserves. The country's pre-salt deepwater fields are providing a crucial buffer against global supply disruptions, ensuring domestic energy security. The outlook for Brazil is relatively stable, with its robust domestic production helping to absorb external shocks in the coming weeks.
$1.28
Gasoline /L
+25.5% vs pre-war
120d
Reserves
17 weeks
+7.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: low
15%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: none
Fuel Prices
USD primary · BRL (R$) localPrices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 22, 2026
Gasoline
$1.28/L
R$6.34/L
+25.5% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.15/L
R$5.70/L
+30.7% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.72/L
R$3.57/L
Jet Fuel (Jet A-1)
$0.90/L
R$4.46/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $1.02/L · Diesel $0.88/L · Current prices are 25.5% above pre-war levels
3-Month Price History
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
BRL · live ratesStrategic Reserves
Crude Oil Reserves
120days
17 weeks
4.0 months
Adequate
Source: IEA/EIA0d30d60d90d180d365d
✈ Jet Fuel Reserves (Jet A-1)
22days
3 weeks
0.7 months
Low — Under 30 days
Source: Estimated from strategic reserves0d30d60d90d180d365d
Energy Dependency Profile
Oil Import Dependency
15%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
None
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
8%
of food supply imported
Fertilizer & Food Security
Fertilizer Cost Change
+32%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+7.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Low
FAO / WFP assessment
Regional Coverage: Americas
No articles specifically about Brazil — showing regional coverage
US Crude Oil, Oil Product Inventories Come Crashing Down
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 4.4 million barrels in the week ending April 17. In the week prior, US crude oil inventories rose by 6.10 million barrels. Analysts had expected a 1 million barrel draw. Inventories in the US Str
OilPrice.com·5h ago
Sable Pursues Federal Funding to Ramp Up Santa Ynez Oil Production
Sable said it was also 'coordinating with the federal government in various legal matters to defend its vested rights', amid compliance disputes with local and state authorities over the California facility.
Rigzone·12h ago
Government Response
Last updated: April 2026
- Petrobras pre-salt production at record 3.2 mb/d
- Ethanol blend mandate increased to E30 to reduce gasoline demand
- No emergency measures required — Brazil is a net oil exporter
✈️
Flight Disruption Risk
LowJet fuel price change+22% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
Low
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
Low
●1 Crude Oil●1 LNG●2 Products
CLEAN OCEAN
LNG · from Sabine Pass, USA
ETA Arrived
88,000t DWT
NAVE GALACTIC
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
ETA Today
298,000t DWT
STENA PREMIUM
Diesel · from Rotterdam, Netherlands
ETA 3d (25 Apr)
55,000t DWT
NORDIC ANNE
Gasoline · from Antwerp, Belgium
ETA 6d (28 Apr)
48,000t DWT
4 vessels en route
Crisis Summary
Risk LevelLow Risk
Hormuz Exposurenone
CurrencyBRL (R$)
RegionAmericas
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
Neighbours & Partners
View on Crisis Map
See global context
