Brent$99.784.50%
Brent crude hits $98.32/bbl, up 3.0% today.
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Sri Lanka

South Asia
High Risk
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฐ

Sri Lanka

High Risk
AI Analysis ยท Updated daily

Sri Lanka, still reeling from its 2022 economic crisis, is now confronting another severe energy shock that threatens to trigger a full-scale economic collapse. With only 21 days of fuel reserves and 95% oil import dependency directly exposed to the Hormuz disruption, the nation's energy security is extremely fragile. Gasoline prices stand at $1.18/L, while an 88% increase in fertilizer costs is pushing food risk to critical levels. The coming weeks will be crucial as the government attempts to secure emergency fuel supplies and prevent widespread social unrest amid escalating economic pressures.

$1.18
Gasoline /L
+28.3% vs pre-war
21d
Reserves
3 weeks
+24.8%
Food Inflation
Risk: high
95%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: direct

Fuel Prices

USD primary ยท LKR (Rs) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 25, 2026

Gasoline
$1.18/L
Rs375/L
+28.3% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.08/L
Rs343/L
+31.7% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.72/L
Rs229/L
Jet Fuel (Jet A-1)
$0.85/L
Rs270/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.92/L ยท Diesel $0.82/L ยท Current prices are 28.3% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Feb 21Mar 14Apr 4Rs278/LRs308/LRs338/LRs392/LPre-warโš” War
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
LKR ยท live rates

Strategic Reserves

Crude Oil Reserves
21days
3 weeks
0.7 months
Low โ€” Under 30 days
Source: IEA/EIA
0d30d60d90d180d365d
โœˆ Jet Fuel Reserves (Jet A-1)
8days
1 weeks
0.3 months
Low โ€” Under 30 days
Source: Estimated from strategic reserves
0d30d60d90d180d365d

Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency
95%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Direct
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
28%
of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change
+88%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+24.8%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
High
FAO / WFP assessment
Food Security Alert: Elevated fertilizer costs (+88% since Feb 2026) are reducing crop yields. Food inflation of +24.8% is impacting household purchasing power. Risk of food shortages in coming months if energy costs remain elevated.

News: Sri Lanka

South Korea to Sri Lanka: How the Iran war impacts you if you live in Asia - BBC
South Korea to Sri Lanka: How the Iran war impacts you if you live in Asia  BBC
Google News Energyยท21d ago
Sri Lanka raises power tariffs as energy costs begin to bite - Reuters
Sri Lanka raises power tariffs as energy costs begin to bite  Reuters
Google Newsยท25d ago
India Tightens Grip On Sri Lanka As US And China Take The Back Seat โ€“ Analysis - Eurasia Review
India Tightens Grip On Sri Lanka As US And China Take The Back Seat โ€“ Analysis  Eurasia Review
Google Newsยท11h ago
India sends 38,000 MT fuel to Sri Lanka amid global energy crisis; Dissanayake thanks Modi for 'swift support' - MSN
India sends 38,000 MT fuel to Sri Lanka amid global energy crisis; Dissanayake thanks Modi for 'swift support'  MSN
Google Newsยท12h ago
Sri Lanka Begins Purchasing Russian Oil - russia's pivot to asia
Sri Lanka Begins Purchasing Russian Oil  russia's pivot to asia
Google Newsยท17d ago
Sri Lanka braces for new economic crisis as war on Iran continues - Al Jazeera
Sri Lanka braces for new economic crisis as war on Iran continues  Al Jazeera
Google Newsยท28d ago
Push for solar park in Sri Lankaโ€™s elephant terrain raises concern - news - Mongabay
Push for solar park in Sri Lankaโ€™s elephant terrain raises concern  news - Mongabay
Google Newsยท3d ago
Opinion | Between Fear And Opportunity: Sri Lanka's India Dilemma - NDTV
Opinion | Between Fear And Opportunity: Sri Lanka's India Dilemma  NDTV
Google Newsยท13h ago
Fuel rations and free buses: How countries have responded to rising oil prices - BBC
Fuel rations and free buses: How countries have responded to rising oil prices  BBC
Google Newsยท3d ago
Sri Lanka's Energy Minister resigns - Reuters
Sri Lanka's Energy Minister resigns  Reuters
Google Newsยท7d ago

Government Response

Major emergency response

Last updated: April 2026

  • Emergency fuel allocation system reactivated from 2022 crisis playbook
  • QR-code vehicle fuel quota system: 40 litres/week for private cars
  • IMF programme extended with additional $1.1 billion energy support tranche
  • Electricity tariffs increased 35% to reduce subsidised consumption
  • Emergency LNG imports from India under bilateral energy agreement
โœˆ๏ธ

Flight Disruption Risk

Critical
Jet fuel price change+71% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
High
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
High
View full flight tracker โ†’

Inbound Supply Ships

IntelligenceFull manifest โ†’
CRITICAL: Only 1 inbound tanker confirmed. Sri Lanka has ~18 days of reserves. Fuel rationing expected within 2 weeks.
โ—1 Crude Oil
OCEAN PIONEER
Crude Oil ยท from Basra, Iraq
Cape of Good Hope reroute โ€” +14 days transit
ETA Arrived
105,000t DWT
1 vessel en route

Crisis Summary

Risk LevelHigh Risk
Hormuz Exposuredirect
CurrencyLKR (Rs)
RegionSouth Asia
Data SourcesIEA ยท EIA ยท FAO ยท WFP
View on Crisis Map
See global context

Data: IEA, EIA, World Bank, FAO, GlobalPetrolPrices.com ยท Updated daily

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

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