🇵🇰
Pakistan
High Risk
AI Analysis · Updated daily
Pakistan is experiencing a high-risk scenario, marked by acute fuel and food crises, with only 18 days of gasoline reserves and prices at $1.05/L. Its 85% oil import dependency and direct Hormuz exposure make it highly vulnerable to global supply shocks. Fertilizer costs have nearly doubled, increasing by 95%, which severely impacts agricultural output and exacerbates high food risk. Ongoing IMF emergency talks are critical, but the outlook for the coming weeks remains precarious without substantial external support and fuel supply stabilization.
$1.05
Gasoline /L
+28.0% vs pre-war
18d
Reserves
3 weeks
+28.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: high
85%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: direct
Fuel Prices
USD primary · PKR (₨) localPrices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 20, 2026
Gasoline
$1.05/L
₨293/L
+28.0% vs pre-war
Diesel
$0.98/L
₨273/L
+30.7% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.62/L
₨173/L
Kerosene / Jet A
$0.78/L
₨218/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.82/L · Diesel $0.75/L · Current prices are 28.0% above pre-war levels
3-Month Price History
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
PKR · live ratesStrategic Oil Reserves
18days
3 weeks
0.6 months
Low — Under 30 days
Source: IEA/EIA0d30d60d90d180d365d
Energy Dependency Profile
Oil Import Dependency
85%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Direct
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
22%
of food supply imported
Fertilizer & Food Security
Fertilizer Cost Change
+95%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+28.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
High
FAO / WFP assessment
Food Security Alert: Elevated fertilizer costs (+95% since Feb 2026) are reducing crop yields. Food inflation of +28.5% is impacting household purchasing power. Risk of food shortages in coming months if energy costs remain elevated.
News: Pakistan
Iran war live: Tehran slams US ‘piracy’ after ship seizure, vows response
Attack comes hours after US President Donald Trump announced he is sending his team to Islamabad for possible talks.
Al Jazeera·4h ago
Pakistan Oil Tanker Makes Rare Entry and Exit Through Hormuz - Bloomberg.com
Pakistan Oil Tanker Makes Rare Entry and Exit Through Hormuz Bloomberg.com
Google News·2d ago
Pakistan weighs spot LNG as Iran war hits supply, ramps up domestic oil and gas - Reuters
Pakistan weighs spot LNG as Iran war hits supply, ramps up domestic oil and gas Reuters
Google News·4d ago
Pakistanis face unprecedented fuel price rise of up to 54% as global oil price spikes - AP News
Pakistanis face unprecedented fuel price rise of up to 54% as global oil price spikes AP News
Google News·16d ago
Pakistan’s Mineral Frontier and the Geopolitics of US Supply Chain Diversification - Fair Observer
Pakistan’s Mineral Frontier and the Geopolitics of US Supply Chain Diversification Fair Observer
Google News·15h ago
Iran rebuffs Trump's plan for new round of peace talks, state media reports - CNBC
Iran rebuffs Trump's plan for new round of peace talks, state media reports CNBC
Google News·18h ago
Pakistan role averted oil shock: Iqbal - The Express Tribune
Pakistan role averted oil shock: Iqbal The Express Tribune
Google News·6h ago
War in the Persian Gulf plunges Pakistan into darkness due to energy crisis – Bloomberg - Українські Національні Новини (УНН)
War in the Persian Gulf plunges Pakistan into darkness due to energy crisis – Bloomberg Українські Національні Новини (УНН)
Google News·19h ago
How war on Iran turned Pakistan’s LNG surplus into a looming shortage - Al Jazeera
How war on Iran turned Pakistan’s LNG surplus into a looming shortage Al Jazeera
Google News·16d ago
Eight killed as gas pipeline explodes in Pakistan's Khyber Pakhtunkhwa - The Times of India
Eight killed as gas pipeline explodes in Pakistan's Khyber Pakhtunkhwa The Times of India
Google News·3d ago
Government Response
Last updated: April 2026
- National energy emergency declared; fuel rationing at petrol stations
- IMF emergency loan tranche of $3.2 billion approved for energy imports
- Industrial load-shedding up to 14 hours/day in major cities
- Fertilizer import subsidies expanded to prevent agricultural collapse
- Negotiations with Qatar for emergency LNG supply at discounted rates
✈️
Flight Disruption Risk
CriticalJet fuel price change+78% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
Critical
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
Critical
WARNING: Reduced inbound supply. Pakistan relying on alternative routing via Cape of Good Hope, adding 12 days to transit times.
●1 Crude Oil●1 LNG●1 Products
NORDIC LUNA
Diesel/Gasoline · from Singapore, Singapore
ETA 2d (22 Apr)
45,000t DWT
AGIOS FANOURIOS I
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
Malta-flagged VLCC; first crude carrier to re-enter Gulf via Hormuz April 15 (Reuters)
ETA 8d (28 Apr)
280,000t DWT
EXQUISITE
LNG · from Sabine Pass, USA
ETA 8d (28 Apr)
88,000t DWT
3 vessels en route
Crisis Summary
Risk LevelHigh Risk
Hormuz Exposuredirect
CurrencyPKR (₨)
RegionSouth Asia
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
Neighbours & Partners
View on Crisis Map
See global context
