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Bangladesh
Critical
AI Analysis · Updated daily
Bangladesh faces a critical risk level, with fewer than 14 days of fuel reserves and 88% oil import dependency, making it extremely vulnerable to the ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruption and high Brent crude prices. Gasoline costs $1.12/L, and the country is experiencing widespread power cuts of 8-12 hours daily, severely impacting daily life and economic activity. A high food risk is compounded by a dramatic 98% increase in fertilizer prices. The immediate outlook is dire, with the nation teetering on the brink of an energy and food catastrophe without urgent supply interventions.
$1.12
Gasoline /L
+27.3% vs pre-war
14d
Reserves
2 weeks
+31.2%
Food Inflation
Risk: high
88%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: direct
Fuel Prices
USD primary · BDT (৳) localPrices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 27, 2026
Gasoline
$1.12/L
৳138/L
+27.3% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.02/L
৳125/L
+30.8% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.68/L
৳84/L
Jet Fuel (Jet A-1)
$0.82/L
৳101/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.88/L · Diesel $0.78/L · Current prices are 27.3% above pre-war levels
3-Month Price History
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
BDT · live ratesStrategic Reserves
Crude Oil Reserves
14days
2 weeks
0.5 months
Low — Under 30 days
Source: IEA/EIA0d30d60d90d180d365d
✈ Jet Fuel Reserves (Jet A-1)
10days
1 weeks
0.3 months
Low — Under 30 days
Source: Estimated from strategic reserves0d30d60d90d180d365d
Energy Dependency Profile
Oil Import Dependency
88%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Direct
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
18%
of food supply imported
Fertilizer & Food Security
Fertilizer Cost Change
+98%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+31.2%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
High
FAO / WFP assessment
Food Security Alert: Elevated fertilizer costs (+98% since Feb 2026) are reducing crop yields. Food inflation of +31.2% is impacting household purchasing power. Risk of food shortages in coming months if energy costs remain elevated.
News: Bangladesh
Bangladesh’s Lifeline on the Brink: Fuel Crisis Threatens to Halt National Railway - Pressenza - International Press Agency
Bangladesh’s Lifeline on the Brink: Fuel Crisis Threatens to Halt National Railway Pressenza - International Press Agency
Google News·11h ago
Bangladesh’s fuel crunch is largely the government’s fault - Asia Times
Bangladesh’s fuel crunch is largely the government’s fault Asia Times
Google News·4d ago
Energy crisis: Global problem, local failure - The Daily Star
Energy crisis: Global problem, local failure The Daily Star
Google News·6h ago
Bangladesh telcos warn of network shutdowns amid oil shortage crisis - Data Center Dynamics
Bangladesh telcos warn of network shutdowns amid oil shortage crisis Data Center Dynamics
Google News·3d ago
Fuel queues in Bangladesh start to ease after supply boost - Asia News Network
Fuel queues in Bangladesh start to ease after supply boost Asia News Network
Google News·14h ago
Bangladesh cuts working hours to save energy amid Middle East crisis - Reuters
Bangladesh cuts working hours to save energy amid Middle East crisis Reuters
Google News·25d ago
Russia: EU Sanctions Are a Self-Inflicted Wound - Impakter
Russia: EU Sanctions Are a Self-Inflicted Wound Impakter
Google News·3d ago
Bangladesh’s Energy Crisis worsens as US-Israeli War on Iran Drags on - Informed Comment
Bangladesh’s Energy Crisis worsens as US-Israeli War on Iran Drags on Informed Comment
Google News·13d ago
The Lights Are Going Out in Bangladesh:How the BNP Government and Yunus’s Interim Regime Have Engineered a National Energy Catastrophe - albd.org
The Lights Are Going Out in Bangladesh:How the BNP Government and Yunus’s Interim Regime Have Engineered a National Energy Catastrophe albd.org
Google News·19h ago
Wartime fuel shortages spawn panic, robberies and killings in Asia - The Washington Post
Wartime fuel shortages spawn panic, robberies and killings in Asia The Washington Post
Google News·25d ago
Government Response
Last updated: April 2026
- National energy emergency declared by Prime Minister
- Power cuts of 8-12 hours/day implemented across non-essential sectors
- Fuel rationing: private vehicles limited to 20 litres per visit
- Emergency crude oil purchase from Russia and Kazakhstan via alternative routes
- World Bank emergency credit of $500 million mobilised for fuel imports
- Garment factories operating on reduced hours to conserve diesel
✈️
Flight Disruption Risk
CriticalJet fuel price change+68% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
High
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
High
WARNING: Bangladesh has 2 confirmed inbound vessels. Fuel rationing in effect in Dhaka. Next scheduled delivery not until late April.
●1 Crude Oil
OLYMPIC LEGEND
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
ETA 9d (6 May)
115,000t DWT
1 vessel en route
Crisis Summary
Risk LevelCritical
Hormuz Exposuredirect
CurrencyBDT (৳)
RegionSouth Asia
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
Neighbours & Partners
View on Crisis Map
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