Brent$99.133.82%
Brent crude hits $98.32/bbl, up 3.0% today.
🇯🇵

Japan

Asia-Pacific
Low Risk
🇯🇵

Japan

Low Risk
AI Analysis · Updated daily

Japan, despite its 99% oil import dependency and direct exposure to the Strait of Hormuz, maintains a relatively low risk profile due to robust strategic reserves. The nation holds 145 days of oil reserves, providing a significant buffer against current supply disruptions, with emergency IEA stocks already being drawn down. While gasoline prices are high at $2.18/L, and fertilizer costs have risen by 68%, Japan's strong economic fundamentals and diversified energy procurement strategies mitigate immediate collapse. The coming weeks will see continued reliance on strategic stockpiles and efforts to secure alternative supply routes to maintain stability.

$2.18
Gasoline /L
+43.4% vs pre-war
145d
Reserves
21 weeks
+14.2%
Food Inflation
Risk: low
99.7%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: direct

Fuel Prices

USD primary · JPY (¥) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 25, 2026

Gasoline
$2.18/L
¥348/L
+43.4% vs pre-war
Diesel
$2.05/L
¥327/L
+48.6% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$1.12/L
¥179/L
Jet Fuel (Jet A-1)
$1.45/L
¥231/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $1.52/L · Diesel $1.38/L · Current prices are 43.4% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Feb 21Mar 14Apr 4¥230/L¥265/L¥300/L¥357/LPre-war⚔ War
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
JPY · live rates

Strategic Reserves

Crude Oil Reserves
145days
21 weeks
4.8 months
Adequate
Source: IEA/EIA
0d30d60d90d180d365d
✈ Jet Fuel Reserves (Jet A-1)
40days
6 weeks
1.3 months
Below average — Under 2 months
Source: Estimated from strategic reserves
0d30d60d90d180d365d

Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency
99.7%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Direct
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
38%
of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change
+68%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+14.2%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Low
FAO / WFP assessment

News: Japan

China, the United States, and Japan hold most strategic oil inventories in 2025 - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) (.gov)
China, the United States, and Japan hold most strategic oil inventories in 2025  U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) (.gov)
Google News·4d ago
Japan Asks Saudi Arabia for More Oil Supply - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
Japan Asks Saudi Arabia for More Oil Supply  Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
Google News·1d ago
Mexico to send one million barrels of crude oil to Japan, president says - Reuters
Mexico to send one million barrels of crude oil to Japan, president says  Reuters
Google News·1d ago
Japan, US Reach $36 Billion of Gas, Mineral Deals in Trump Pact - EnergyNow.com
Japan, US Reach $36 Billion of Gas, Mineral Deals in Trump Pact  EnergyNow.com
Google News·17h ago
Bitcoin Reverses From $78,000 Amid Inflation in Japan and Oil Risk - Coinspot.io
Bitcoin Reverses From $78,000 Amid Inflation in Japan and Oil Risk  Coinspot.io
Google News·5h ago
As oil costs soar, Japan’s bathhouses struggle to keep heads above water - South China Morning Post
As oil costs soar, Japan’s bathhouses struggle to keep heads above water  South China Morning Post
Google News·2h ago
Hormuz crisis forces Japan, South Korea to rethink strategy - dw.com
Hormuz crisis forces Japan, South Korea to rethink strategy  dw.com
Google News·2d ago
Japan to Import Mexican Oil: The Week in O&G - Mexico Business News
Japan to Import Mexican Oil: The Week in O&G  Mexico Business News
Google News·10h ago
Ebara Elliott Energy Technology For Japan’s Liquefied Hydrogen Supply Chain Demonstration - Gas Compression Magazine
Ebara Elliott Energy Technology For Japan’s Liquefied Hydrogen Supply Chain Demonstration  Gas Compression Magazine
Google News·11h ago
Japan Consumer Inflation Picks Up as Mideast War Fuels Energy Costs - WSJ
Japan Consumer Inflation Picks Up as Mideast War Fuels Energy Costs  WSJ
Google News·1d ago

Government Response

Major emergency response

Last updated: April 2026

  • IEA strategic reserve release authorised — drawing down 30-day emergency stocks
  • Fuel rationing for non-essential commercial vehicles introduced
  • Remote working mandate for government employees extended to private sector
  • Speed limits reduced to 80 km/h on highways to cut fuel consumption
  • Electricity rationing for industrial users during peak hours
  • Subsidised public transport fares to reduce private car use
✈️

Flight Disruption Risk

High
Jet fuel price change+52% vs pre-war
+90 Day Outlook
High
Peak Season (Jul/Aug)
High
View full flight tracker →

Inbound Supply Ships

IntelligenceFull manifest →
Japan IEA emergency reserves activated. LNG tankers delayed due to Ras Laffan terminal disruption. Rerouting adds 18+ days to Gulf shipments.
4 Crude Oil2 LNG1 LPG1 Products
PACIFIC EXPLORER
LNG · from Darwin, Australia
ETA Arrived
88,000t DWT
STENA PREMIUM
Naphtha · from Singapore, Singapore
ETA Arrived
68,000t DWT
NAVIGATOR AURORA
LPG · from Jubail, Saudi Arabia
ETA Arrived
45,000t DWT
PACIFIC BREEZE
LNG · from Ras Laffan, Qatar
Delayed 5 days due to Ras Laffan terminal disruption
ETA Today
92,000t DWT
COSPEARL LAKE
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
Chinese VLCC; transited Hormuz April 11, loaded Iraq crude (Bloomberg/Fortune)
ETA 3d (28 Apr)
310,000t DWT
NAVE GALACTIC
Crude Oil · from Novorossiysk, Russia
ETA 3d (28 Apr)
158,000t DWT
HE RONG HAI
Crude Oil · from Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia
Chinese VLCC; transited Hormuz April 11, loaded Saudi crude (Bloomberg/Fortune)
ETA 5d (30 Apr)
295,000t DWT
YUAN HUA HU
Crude Oil · from Basra, Iraq
Chinese VLCC; third tanker waiting near Hormuz April 11 (Bloomberg)
ETA 7d (2 May)
305,000t DWT
8 vessels en route

Crisis Summary

Risk LevelLow Risk
Hormuz Exposuredirect
CurrencyJPY (¥)
RegionAsia-Pacific
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
View on Crisis Map
See global context

Data: IEA, EIA, World Bank, FAO, GlobalPetrolPrices.com · Updated daily

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

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