Brent$89.909.55%
Hormuz fears renew, crude surges.
🇹🇯

Tajikistan

Asia-Pacific
High Risk
🇹🇯

Tajikistan

High Risk
AI Analysis · Updated daily

Tajikistan is highly vulnerable, registering a high-risk score due to its near-total 98% oil import dependency and critically low fuel reserves of just 22 days. This situation has pushed gasoline prices to $0.92/L, compounded by moderate food risk and a substantial 58% increase in fertilizer costs. Despite these challenges, the nation's extensive hydropower resources offer a significant mitigating factor, providing a stable and independent source of electricity. The outlook remains precarious, with sustained pressure on fuel supplies and prices expected in the coming weeks, necessitating careful management of its limited resources.

$0.92
Gasoline /L
+27.8% vs pre-war
22d
Reserves
3 weeks
+16.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: moderate
98%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: none

Fuel Prices

USD primary · TJS (SM) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 21, 2026

Gasoline
$0.92/L
SM8.73/L
+27.8% vs pre-war
Diesel
$0.82/L
SM7.78/L
+32.3% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.55/L
SM5.22/L
Kerosene / Jet A
$0.68/L
SM6.45/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.72/L · Diesel $0.62/L · Current prices are 27.8% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Feb 21Mar 14Apr 4SM6.580/LSM7.230/LSM7.880/LSM9.170/LPre-war⚔ War
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
TJS · live rates

Strategic Oil Reserves

22days
3 weeks
0.7 months
Low — Under 30 days
Source: IEA/EIA
0d30d60d90d180d365d

Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency
98%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
None
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
28%
of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change
+58%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+16.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Moderate
FAO / WFP assessment

News: Tajikistan

Tajikistan tests China’s power in Central Asia - GIS Reports
Tajikistan tests China’s power in Central Asia  GIS Reports
Google News·5d ago
Uzbekistan and Tajikistan cement strategic energy partnership - Qazinform
Uzbekistan and Tajikistan cement strategic energy partnership  Qazinform
Google News·1d ago
Wartime Surge in Iran-Tajikistan Trade Draws Scrutiny - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
Wartime Surge in Iran-Tajikistan Trade Draws Scrutiny  Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
Google News·4d ago
How the Energy Industry Began in Tajikistan 100 Years Ago - Азия-Плюс
How the Energy Industry Began in Tajikistan 100 Years Ago  Азия-Плюс
Google News·5d ago
Tajikistan, Kazakhstan eye expanding unified energy system cooperation - Qazinform
Tajikistan, Kazakhstan eye expanding unified energy system cooperation  Qazinform
Google News·12d ago
Tajikistan discloses early 2026 figures for oil and gas production - Trend News Agency
Tajikistan discloses early 2026 figures for oil and gas production  Trend News Agency
Google News·16d ago
24 Criminal Cases Initiated in Northern Tajikistan for Electricity Theft - Азия-Плюс
24 Criminal Cases Initiated in Northern Tajikistan for Electricity Theft  Азия-Плюс
Google News·1d ago
Tajikistan to launch 500 MW solar initiative to boost renewable energy transition - Qazinform
Tajikistan to launch 500 MW solar initiative to boost renewable energy transition  Qazinform
Google News·21d ago
Tajikistan, India hold talks on expanding energy partnership - Qazinform
Tajikistan, India hold talks on expanding energy partnership  Qazinform
Google News·29d ago
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Flight Disruption Risk

Moderate

Jet fuel prices have risen ~38% above pre-war levels globally. Expect fuel surcharges on most international routes. No specific disruption data available for this country.

View full flight disruption tracker →

Inbound Supply Ships

IntelligenceFull manifest →

No inbound tankers detected

May indicate supply disruption

Crisis Summary

Risk LevelHigh Risk
Hormuz Exposurenone
CurrencyTJS (SM)
RegionAsia-Pacific
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
View on Crisis Map
See global context

Data: IEA, EIA, World Bank, FAO, GlobalPetrolPrices.com · Updated daily

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

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