Brent$99.133.82%
Brent crude hits $99.13/bbl, up 3.8% today.
🇲🇽

Mexico

Americas
Stable
🇲🇽

Mexico

Stable
AI Analysis · Updated daily

Mexico faces moderate vulnerability despite being an oil producer, primarily due to its 25% oil import dependency, particularly for refined products. Gasoline prices are $1.12/L, and while reserves stand at 95 days, state-owned Pemex is under significant financial pressure, impacting investment and stability. Moderate food risk and a substantial +38% increase in fertilizer costs add to economic strain. The outlook for Mexico suggests continued challenges in managing fuel supply and domestic economic stability, exacerbated by global price volatility.

$1.12
Gasoline /L
+27.3% vs pre-war
95d
Reserves
14 weeks
+8.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: moderate
25%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: none

Fuel Prices

USD primary · MXN (MX$) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 25, 2026

Gasoline
$1.12/L
MX$19.5/L
+27.3% vs pre-war
Diesel
$0.98/L
MX$17.1/L
+30.7% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.65/L
MX$11.3/L
Jet Fuel (Jet A-1)
$0.82/L
MX$14.3/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.88/L · Diesel $0.75/L · Current prices are 27.3% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Feb 21Mar 14Apr 4MX$14.7/LMX$16.7/LMX$20.4/LPre-war⚔ War
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
MXN · live rates

Strategic Reserves

Crude Oil Reserves
95days
14 weeks
3.2 months
Adequate
Source: IEA/EIA
0d30d60d90d180d365d
✈ Jet Fuel Reserves (Jet A-1)
20days
3 weeks
0.7 months
Low — Under 30 days
Source: Estimated from strategic reserves
0d30d60d90d180d365d

Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency
25%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
None
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
18%
of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change
+38%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+8.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Moderate
FAO / WFP assessment

News: Mexico

Mexico to send one million barrels of crude oil to Japan, president says - Reuters
Mexico to send one million barrels of crude oil to Japan, president says  Reuters
Google News·1d ago
Mexico Advances Clean Energy, Faces Circular Economy Gap - Mexico Business News
Mexico Advances Clean Energy, Faces Circular Economy Gap  Mexico Business News
Google News·11h ago
Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas Suggests PEMEX Transition From Oil Company to “energy entity” - Mexico Solidarity Media
Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas Suggests PEMEX Transition From Oil Company to “energy entity”  Mexico Solidarity Media
Google News·10h ago
Fugitive Mexican Navy officer wanted for fuel smuggling arrested in Argentina - Mexico News Daily
Fugitive Mexican Navy officer wanted for fuel smuggling arrested in Argentina  Mexico News Daily
Google News·13h ago
Climate groups sue US government over approval of new BP project in Gulf of Mexico - The Guardian
Climate groups sue US government over approval of new BP project in Gulf of Mexico  The Guardian
Google News·4d ago
Honeywell presents reliable energy solutions through nearshoring - MEXICONOW
Honeywell presents reliable energy solutions through nearshoring  MEXICONOW
Google News·17h ago
Trump administration sued for approving BP project in Gulf on Deepwater Horizon disaster anniversary - Louisiana Illuminator
Trump administration sued for approving BP project in Gulf on Deepwater Horizon disaster anniversary  Louisiana Illuminator
Google News·3d ago
Energy Infrastructure Limiting Mexico's Data Centre Growth - Data Centre Magazine
Energy Infrastructure Limiting Mexico's Data Centre Growth  Data Centre Magazine
Google News·22h ago
Renault Master Diesel: A van focused on saving fuel - MEXICONOW
Renault Master Diesel: A van focused on saving fuel  MEXICONOW
Google News·15h ago
Mexico Renews Fuel Price Caps Amid Global Volatility - Mexico Business News
Mexico Renews Fuel Price Caps Amid Global Volatility  Mexico Business News
Google News·3d ago

Government Response

Minor measures

Last updated: April 2026

  • Pemex crude production target raised to 1.9 mb/d
  • Dos Bocas refinery operating at 50% capacity; ramp-up accelerated
  • Fuel subsidy maintained: Magna petrol price capped at MXN 20/litre
  • Emergency refined product imports from US Gulf Coast
✈️

Flight Disruption Risk

Moderate

Jet fuel prices have risen ~38% above pre-war levels globally. Expect fuel surcharges on most international routes. No specific disruption data available for this country.

View full flight disruption tracker →

Inbound Supply Ships

IntelligenceFull manifest →

No inbound tankers detected

May indicate supply disruption

Crisis Summary

Risk LevelStable
Hormuz Exposurenone
CurrencyMXN (MX$)
RegionAmericas
Data SourcesIEA · EIA · FAO · WFP
View on Crisis Map
See global context

Data: IEA, EIA, World Bank, FAO, GlobalPetrolPrices.com · Updated daily

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

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