Brent$99.133.82%
Brent Crude Nears $100/bbl: Up 3.8% Today
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Tanzania

Africa
High Risk
πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡Ώ

Tanzania

High Risk
AI Analysis Β· Updated daily

Tanzania faces high vulnerability due to its 100% reliance on imported petroleum and limited 20-day fuel reserves amidst the ongoing global oil supply crunch. Gasoline prices are already elevated at $1.22/L, and the critical Dar es Salaam port supply chain is experiencing significant pressure, threatening further disruptions. While its direct exposure to the Strait of Hormuz is low, the global market impact is severely felt, exacerbating moderate food risks with fertilizer costs up 65%. The outlook for coming weeks remains challenging as global supply constraints persist, likely leading to continued price hikes and potential fuel shortages.

$1.22
Gasoline /L
+32.6% vs pre-war
20d
Reserves
3 weeks
+16.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: moderate
100%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: low

Fuel Prices

USD primary Β· TZS (TSh) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 25, 2026

Gasoline
$1.22/L
TSh3185/L
+32.6% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.08/L
TSh2820/L
+38.5% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.68/L
TSh1775/L
Jet Fuel (Jet A-1)
$0.85/L
TSh2219/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.92/L Β· Diesel $0.78/L Β· Current prices are 32.6% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Feb 21Mar 14Apr 4TSh2255/LTSh2555/LTSh2855/LTSh3270/LPre-warβš” War
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
TZS Β· live rates

Strategic Reserves

Crude Oil Reserves
20days
3 weeks
0.7 months
Low β€” Under 30 days
Source: IEA/EIA
0d30d60d90d180d365d
✈ Jet Fuel Reserves (Jet A-1)
8days
1 weeks
0.3 months
Low β€” Under 30 days
Source: Estimated from strategic reserves
0d30d60d90d180d365d

Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency
100%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Low
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
30%
of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change
+65%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+16.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Moderate
FAO / WFP assessment

News: Tanzania

Kenya, Tanzania and neighbours discuss joint refinery as Dangote offers to build it - Reuters
Kenya, Tanzania and neighbours discuss joint refinery as Dangote offers to build it  Reuters
Google NewsΒ·2d ago
Tanzania postelection inquiry shows 518 people died in last year’s violence - myMotherLode.com
Tanzania postelection inquiry shows 518 people died in last year’s violence  myMotherLode.com
Google NewsΒ·2d ago
Dangote vows to lead new major oil refinery project in East Africa - Business Insider Africa
Dangote vows to lead new major oil refinery project in East Africa  Business Insider Africa
Google NewsΒ·2d ago
Motorists in Tanzania turn to gas after increase in fuel prices - thecitizen.co.tz
Motorists in Tanzania turn to gas after increase in fuel prices  thecitizen.co.tz
Google NewsΒ·9h ago
Tanzania and Indonesia agree to unlock opportunities in agriculture, energy, trade, education. - Tanzania Insight
Tanzania and Indonesia agree to unlock opportunities in agriculture, energy, trade, education.  Tanzania Insight
Google NewsΒ·2d ago
Tanzania earmarks $967m for energy expansion, boosts power, gas projects - Punch Newspapers
Tanzania earmarks $967m for energy expansion, boosts power, gas projects  Punch Newspapers
Google NewsΒ·2d ago
How Tanzania could emerge as the unlikely dealmaker for Kenya, Uganda's oil ambitions - standardmedia.co.ke
How Tanzania could emerge as the unlikely dealmaker for Kenya, Uganda's oil ambitions  standardmedia.co.ke
Google NewsΒ·15h ago
Call for Entries: Energy Efficiency Hackathon (Tanzania) - fundsforNGOs
Call for Entries: Energy Efficiency Hackathon (Tanzania)  fundsforNGOs
Google NewsΒ·2d ago
Plans reportedly afoot for new giant refinery in Tanzania - ship.energy
Plans reportedly afoot for new giant refinery in Tanzania  ship.energy
Google NewsΒ·2d ago
Tanzania moves to cushion economy against surging global fuel prices - The Eastleigh Voice
Tanzania moves to cushion economy against surging global fuel prices  The Eastleigh Voice
Google NewsΒ·2d ago

Government Response

Moderate response

Last updated: April 2026

  • Emergency fuel import via Dar es Salaam port from UAE and India
  • Fuel price stabilisation levy activated to cap retail increases
  • IMF emergency support of $400 million approved
  • Rationing of diesel for commercial transport: 100 litres/day cap
✈️

Flight Disruption Risk

Moderate

Jet fuel prices have risen ~38% above pre-war levels globally. Expect fuel surcharges on most international routes. No specific disruption data available for this country.

View full flight disruption tracker β†’

Inbound Supply Ships

IntelligenceFull manifest β†’

No inbound tankers detected

May indicate supply disruption

Crisis Summary

Risk LevelHigh Risk
Hormuz Exposurelow
CurrencyTZS (TSh)
RegionAfrica
Data SourcesIEA Β· EIA Β· FAO Β· WFP
View on Crisis Map
See global context

Data: IEA, EIA, World Bank, FAO, GlobalPetrolPrices.com Β· Updated daily

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

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