São Tomé and Príncipe

São Tomé and Príncipe faces acute energy insecurity due to its complete reliance on oil imports, with gasoline at $1.45/L and a critically low 15 days of reserves. As a very small island economy, it lacks significant internal resilience and is highly susceptible to global price shocks and supply chain disruptions. The moderate food risk and substantial 65% increase in fertilizer costs indicate a compounding crisis impacting both energy and agricultural sectors. The coming weeks present a high risk of severe economic strain and potential fuel shortages, requiring urgent international support and contingency planning.