Sudan

Sudan is facing a critical energy security situation, highly vulnerable with 90% oil import dependency and only 10 days of gasoline reserves amidst the global supply crunch. The ongoing conflict exacerbates these challenges, pushing gasoline prices to $1.05/L and accelerating a critical food crisis, evidenced by an 85% increase in fertilizer costs. While its Hormuz exposure is low, the severe global supply disruption disproportionately impacts its already fragile economy. The outlook for Sudan is dire, with escalating humanitarian needs and an urgent requirement for external fuel and food aid to avert further catastrophe in the coming weeks.