🇬🇼

Guinea-Bissau

Africa

Critical

🇬🇼

Guinea-Bissau

Critical

AI Analysis · Updated daily

Guinea-Bissau is in a critical energy security situation, with 100% oil import dependency and a dangerously low 12-day gasoline reserve. Fuel prices are already high at $1.22/L, directly contributing to a critical food risk due to increased transportation and agricultural input costs from a +70% fertilizer price hike. The country's very limited infrastructure further complicates distribution and resilience efforts. The outlook is dire, with severe economic and humanitarian strain anticipated as shortages and price hikes persist in the coming weeks.

$1.22

Gasoline /L

+32.6% vs pre-war

12d

Reserves

2 weeks

+22.5%

Food Inflation

Risk: critical

100%

Oil Imported

Hormuz: low

Fuel Prices

USD primary · XOF (CFA) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 26, 2026

Gasoline

$1.22/L

CFA683/L

+32.6% vs pre-war

Diesel

$1.08/L

CFA605/L

+38.5% vs pre-war

LPG / Autogas

$0.68/L

CFA381/L

Jet Fuel (Jet A-1)

$0.85/L

CFA476/L

Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $0.92/L · Diesel $0.78/L · Current prices are 32.6% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Pre-war baseline

Iran war starts (Feb 2026)

XOF · live rates

Strategic Reserves

Crude Oil Reserves

12days

2 weeks

0.4 months

Low — Under 30 days

Source: IEA/EIA

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✈ Jet Fuel Reserves (Jet A-1)

4days

1 weeks

0.1 months

Low — Under 30 days

Source: Estimated from strategic reserves

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Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency

100%

of total oil consumption

Hormuz Exposure

Low

Strait of Hormuz risk

Food Import Dependency

45%

of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change

+70%

vs pre-war (Feb 2026)

Food Inflation (YoY)

+22.5%

year-on-year CPI food

Food Security Risk

Critical

FAO / WFP assessment

Food Security Alert: Elevated fertilizer costs (+70% since Feb 2026) are reducing crop yields. Food inflation of +22.5% is impacting household purchasing power. Risk of food shortages in coming months if energy costs remain elevated.

News: Guinea-Bissau

New JV targets deepwater exploration in Guinea-Bissau offshore blocks - World Oil

New JV targets deepwater exploration in Guinea-Bissau offshore blocks  World Oil

Google News·2d ago

China’s Floating Fish Factories Plunder Guinea-Bissau’s Resources - Africa Defense Forum

China’s Floating Fish Factories Plunder Guinea-Bissau’s Resources  Africa Defense Forum

Google News·26d ago

NAWEC welcomes Bissau delegation for energy cooperation - The Point.gm

NAWEC welcomes Bissau delegation for energy cooperation  The Point.gm

Google News·27d ago

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Flight Disruption Risk

Moderate

Jet fuel prices have risen ~38% above pre-war levels globally. Expect fuel surcharges on most international routes. No specific disruption data available for this country.

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