Brent$99.133.82%
Brent crude nears $100/bbl, up 3.8% today.
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Burundi

Africa
Critical
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ

Burundi

Critical
AI Analysis ยท Updated daily

Burundi is experiencing a critical energy crisis, with an 85/100 risk score, characterized by catastrophic fuel shortages and 100% oil import dependency. With only 8 days of fuel reserves and gasoline at $1.42/L, the nation's economy is severely hampered. The critical food risk, coupled with an alarming 88% increase in fertilizer costs, points to an impending humanitarian crisis. As one of the world's most vulnerable nations, Burundi lacks significant resilience factors, and the ongoing global oil supply deficit of ~17 mb/d and high Brent prices will likely push the country deeper into crisis in the coming weeks.

$1.42
Gasoline /L
+31.5% vs pre-war
8d
Reserves
1 weeks
+35.5%
Food Inflation
Risk: critical
100%
Oil Imported
Hormuz: low

Fuel Prices

USD primary ยท BIF (BIF) local

Prices shown per litre. Local currency conversion uses live exchange rates.Last updated: Apr 25, 2026

Gasoline
$1.42/L
BIF4,237/L
+31.5% vs pre-war
Diesel
$1.28/L
BIF3,819/L
+34.7% vs pre-war
LPG / Autogas
$0.78/L
BIF2,327/L
Jet Fuel (Jet A-1)
$0.98/L
BIF2,924/L
Pre-war baseline (Feb 2026): Gasoline $1.08/L ยท Diesel $0.95/L ยท Current prices are 31.5% above pre-war levels

3-Month Price History

Feb 21Mar 14Apr 4BIF3084/LBIF3434/LBIF3784/LBIF4427/LPre-warโš” War
Pre-war baseline
Iran war starts (Feb 2026)
BIF ยท live rates

Strategic Reserves

Crude Oil Reserves
8days
1 weeks
0.3 months
Low โ€” Under 30 days
Source: IEA/EIA
0d30d60d90d180d365d
โœˆ Jet Fuel Reserves (Jet A-1)
3days
0 weeks
0.1 months
Low โ€” Under 30 days
Source: Estimated from strategic reserves
0d30d60d90d180d365d

Energy Dependency Profile

Oil Import Dependency
100%
of total oil consumption
Hormuz Exposure
Low
Strait of Hormuz risk
Food Import Dependency
42%
of food supply imported

Fertilizer & Food Security

Fertilizer Cost Change
+88%
vs pre-war (Feb 2026)
Food Inflation (YoY)
+35.5%
year-on-year CPI food
Food Security Risk
Critical
FAO / WFP assessment
Food Security Alert: Elevated fertilizer costs (+88% since Feb 2026) are reducing crop yields. Food inflation of +35.5% is impacting household purchasing power. Risk of food shortages in coming months if energy costs remain elevated.
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Flight Disruption Risk

Moderate

Jet fuel prices have risen ~38% above pre-war levels globally. Expect fuel surcharges on most international routes. No specific disruption data available for this country.

View full flight disruption tracker โ†’

Inbound Supply Ships

IntelligenceFull manifest โ†’

No inbound tankers detected

May indicate supply disruption

Crisis Summary

Risk LevelCritical
Hormuz Exposurelow
CurrencyBIF (BIF)
RegionAfrica
Data SourcesIEA ยท EIA ยท FAO ยท WFP
View on Crisis Map
See global context

Data: IEA, EIA, World Bank, FAO, GlobalPetrolPrices.com ยท Updated daily

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

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